Is Computer-Driven Trading Causing Market Spikes?

High-speed trades that outpace human decision-making are unhealthy for the markets, critics say.
Enlarge Andrew Burton/Getty Images

High-speed trades that outpace human decision-making are unhealthy for the markets, critics say.

High-speed trades that outpace human decision-making are unhealthy for the markets, critics say.
Andrew Burton/Getty Images

High-speed trades that outpace human decision-making are unhealthy for the markets, critics say.

text size A A A
August 19, 2011

Stock prices lost more ground Friday, but the losses were small compared with Thursday and the stomach-churning drops of the week before.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 173 points, or about 1.6 percent, after big drops in Asia and Europe. The sell-off has come amid worries about a global economic slowdown

But many people believe the decline has been aggravated by the explosion of high-speed trading.

Joe Saluzzi of Themis Trading has been watching the turmoil on Wall Street over the past few weeks, with huge volumes of shares being bought and sold, and triple-digit swings in the Dow nearly every day.

Saluzzi says many of the trades are coming from one source: "Some people are estimating that 75 percent of the volume is high-speed trading. Well, that only leaves 25 percent of real investors ... which are institutional and retail."

High-speed traders use supercomputers to find discrepancies in stock prices. Then they use the data they collect to rapidly buy and sell shares — sometimes in tiny fractions of a second.

Critics like Michael Greenberger, a former member of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, say high-speed trading distorts the market. You need expensive supercomputers to play, and only the richest traders can afford them.

"Most rational people have to believe it is not a healthy way for the market to operate, where you're trying to game the market by getting in ahead of human decision-making," Greenberger says.

But critics also say there's another problem. High-speed traders can pile on a stock trade, making price swings bigger than they normally would be. "High-frequency trading will amplify a move, whether it's to the upside or to the downside," Saluzzi says.

High-frequency trading will amplify a move, whether it's to the upside or to the downside.

High-speed trading was blamed for the "flash crash" in May 2010, when the Dow lost and then regained hundreds of points within minutes. And Greenberger says high-speed traders could be responsible for some of the volatility now being seen in the markets.

"There is a conventional wisdom that the high-speed trading is aggravating the downside and the upside in this volatility," he says.

Greenberger says there's no way to know this for sure. Analyzing market swings is enormously difficult and takes more resources than overstretched federal regulators have right now.

James Angel, associate professor of business at Georgetown University, says high-speed traders have become a kind of convenient scapegoat in volatile times like these, but he doesn't believe they have the kind of power people ascribe to them.

"Most of the time they are darting in and out with small amounts of money for fairly small profits," he says. "They are not the people moving $40 billion in and out."

Angel says what's driving the market swings right now are very real fears about Europe's debt problems and the slowing global economy. High-speed trading may be playing a role in that, but it's not clear how big, he says.

What's clear is that high-speed trading is a relatively new phenomenon that is reshaping the markets, and regulators don't yet understand the real impact it's having.

 

More Business

Podcast + RSS Feeds

Podcast RSS

  • Business
     
  • All Things Considered
     
 
 
 

Comments

Discussions for this story are now closed. Please see the Community FAQ for more information.

 

NPR thanks our sponsors

Become an NPR Sponsor

Facebook chart

The company has grown from an idea hatched in a Harvard dorm to a worldwide social media phenomenon worth billions.

Kelley Hawkins and her grandmother AnnaBelle Bowers

Multigenerational households face difficult financial decisions surrounding elder care, paying for college and retirement.

From The Opinion Pages

TED's 'Explicitly Partisan' Talk, Briefly Barred From Its Site, Now Everywhere

An income inequality talk deemed too "explicitly partisan" for TED is now available for viewing.

JPMorgan's losses look bad for the Obama administration.

New Republic: JP Morgan Scared The White House

JPMorgan's losses look bad for the Obama administration.

The Obama administration has been silent about the stimulus because it hasn't achieved its goals.

Weekly Standard: Stimulus? What Stimulus?

The Obama administration has been silent about the stimulus because it hasn't achieved its goals.

podcast

Planet Money Podcast

Planet Money Podcast

Meet high rollers, brainy economists and regular folks -- all trying to make sense of our rapidly changing global economy.

Subscribe

podcast

NPR Business Story of the Day Podcast

NPR Business Story of the Day Podcast

The top business story of the day from Morning Edition, All Things Considered and other award-winning NPR programs.

Subscribe

podcast

Weekends on All Things Considered Podcast

Weekends On All Things Considered Podcast

Missed All Things Considered this weekend? Here's the best of what you might've missed.

Feed

Subscribe in iTunes

Listen Now