Economist Paul Krugman Plays Not My Job
CARL KASELL: From NPR and WBEZ-Chicago, this is WAIT WAIT...DON'T TELL ME!, the NPR News quiz. I'm Carl Kasell, and here again is your host, at the Chase Bank Auditorium in downtown Chicago, Peter Sagal.
PETER SAGAL, HOST:
Thank you, Carl.
SAGAL: Thanks everybody. So usually, usually you think of science as being dull, filled with numbers and guys sitting around working out complicated equations on blackboards. But there's also exciting sciences, like economics.
KASELL: One of the most exciting, scintillating economists in the world, Noble Laureate and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman joined us a few months before the recent election, along with panelists Kyrie O'Connor, Mo Rocca and Simon Amstell.
SAGAL: Professor Paul Krugman, welcome to WAIT WAIT...DON'T TELL ME!
PAUL KRUGMAN: Hi there.
SAGAL: It's a pleasure to have you. So, you were once called, we found, the Mick Jagger of Political Economic Punditry. Does that sound about right to you?
KRUGMAN: Yeah, except for the, you know, the strutting and the sex and all that. Otherwise, I've got it all down.
SAGAL: Now, wait a minute. I have seen you on "This Week with George Stephanopoulos," and you strut like a rooster, sir.
SAGAL: You have a reputation for being very smart and for not - how to put this - shall we say suffering fools gladly.
KRUGMAN: Yeah, yeah, there are so many fools that if you try to suffer them at any great length, there's no time left.
SAGAL: The word I have seen associated with you is shrill. Have you heard that one?
KRUGMAN: Yeah, I kind of like that.
SAGAL: You do?
KRUGMAN: The shrill and all of that, I guess - you know, when people call you shrill that means they don't actually have any way to answer what you just said. So that's a good sign.
SAGAL: You started with the New York Times around 1999, if not mistaken, writing about economic issues primarily. And you became very well known and very influential. You won the Nobel Prize. By the way, winning the Nobel Prize, does that shut up one's critics?
KRUGMAN: Well, no, it doesn't shut them up. I mean, but it does mean that people stop saying that you're an idiot for about two weeks.
SAGAL: Two weeks? Because I mean...
KRUGMAN: Two weeks. Then it's right back.
MO ROCCA: It's the honeymoon period.
SAGAL: Because I remember at the time you were engaged in all of these debates, very sometimes intense about the Bush economic program and what it would do. And you had a lot of people criticizing you and dismissing you. And then you won the Nobel Prize. And I, in your shoes, would have such a hard time not saying "Aha" to everybody.
ROCCA: You should wear it when you go on Stephanopoulos' show.
KRUGMAN: Yeah. When it happens, it's such a blur. They worked me like a dog. I mean the thing is all for the sake of the Swedes, not for you. And as my wife said, you know, the two great things are first that you won this and second that we're never going to have to do this again.
KRUGMAN: Oh yeah.
SAGAL: So you're saying it's a pain in the butt to have to win a Nobel?
KRUGMAN: Well, the actual going through the process of collecting it is thrilling but exhausting and...
SAGAL: Do they make you, like, run and chase it? I mean what are you talking about?
KRUGMAN: I maybe talked to about eight different or ten different groups a day. Oh yeah, I shouldn't complain.
KRUGMAN: But it was a very strange out of body experience.
SAGAL: When you've been in an argument with somebody who just won't listen to you, have you ever been tempted to say, "Well, my Nobel says you don't know what you're talking about, pal?"
KRUGMAN: No, it doesn't work, among other things, because there are some idiots who've won Nobels.
KRUGMAN: So it's not...
SAGAL: Wait a minute.
SAGAL: Name a couple.
KRUGMAN: Oh no, there I'm not going to go.
SAGAL: Yeah, okay.
SIMON AMSTELL: I have a question.
KRUGMAN: Hi there.
AMSTELL: What about the economy?
KRUGMAN: It looks like it might rain.
SAGAL: What about it? Simon, what do you want to know about it?
AMSTELL: Maybe it's time to stop banging on about the Nobel and sort it out.
Earn that Nobel.
SAGAL: Well, you have...
SAGAL: You have just written a book. It's called "End This Depression Now."
AMSTELL: Good idea.
SAGAL: I'm not used to books that shout at me what to do. I found it a little intimidating.
KRUGMAN: Well, yeah, I mean it's not you that it's supposed to intimidate. It's supposed to intimidate some people who might actually do something.
KRUGMAN: It won't work, of course, but I'm trying.
SAGAL: I mean, here's the thing. I mean your solution is even, at least to my amateur eyes, very simple, is that you think that the solution for the current problem is that the government should spend a lot more money than it's spending. And that seems very contrary to the current wisdom. Everybody else, including President Obama, says no, no, no, we have to stop our spending.
KRUGMAN: We got a lot of history, got a lot of stuff that says that let's talk about cutting spending after this depression is over but not now. And now is the time we should actually be spending more.
SAGAL: You're usually right, but no one listens to you.
KRUGMAN: Yeah, you know, Cassandra, people forget the myth, right?
KRUGMAN: They call you a Cassandra, and people forget she was always right. Their curse was that nobody would listen.
SAGAL: I remember, for example, in the early 2000's, you were saying that the Bush tax plan would create huge deficits. You were correct.
SAGAL: Later on, you talked about a housing bubble that would eventually explode. And you were right about that. And yet, still no one listens to you.
KRUGMAN: Yeah, well, if you're not telling people what they want to hear, most of the time you're going to get people not listening. But sometimes they do. It always helps.
ROCCA: Do people listen to you at home?
KRUGMAN: Oh, at home? The difference is on the economy I'm always right but at home I'm always wrong.
SAGAL: You had this interesting idea though about how we could save our economy that I thought everybody should listen to, because it's a great idea. Stage an alien invasion.
KRUGMAN: Yeah, a fake alien invasion. Which we have to solve by - you know, to be prepared for that alien invasion, we have to improve our infrastructure and educate our kids. I mean that's how the Great Depression ended, right. I mean FDR could never get approval to spend enough money. You know, WPA and all of those programs helped...
SAGAL: So he faked an alien invasion?
KRUGMAN: No, well, it was the threat of war. And we were actually out of the depression before Pearl Harbor because we'd started our build up to prepare in case we got involved in World War II. So, you know, what you want is the same thing except without the actual war part.
SAGAL: Really? Do you have any sort of clever way of doing that? Can you like...
KRUGMAN: Maybe I gave the game away with the fake aliens. But, you know, National Public Radio can do this by having the fake aliens.
SAGAL: That's true. That's true.
SAGAL: Hold on. Carl, you have a newsman's voice. Can you announce an alien invasion?
KASELL: Oh, absolutely.
SAGAL: Go for it.
KASELL: Ladies and gentleman, turn on your radios and your television sets. Instructions are coming down on how to handle this. Please follow those instructions.
SAGAL: There, economy saved. Bingo.
SAGAL: Well, Paul Krugman, we are delighted to talk to you, but we have also invited you here to play a game that we're calling?
KASELL: Well, it's a nice gift, but we're still going to invade you and take your stuff.
SAGAL: You are known for your direct, confrontational style, so we think you wouldn't do well in the delicate art of diplomatic gift giving. We're going to ask you three questions about diplomatic gifts. Get two right and you'll win our prize for one of our listeners, Carl's voice on their home answering machine. Carl, who is Professor Paul Krugman playing for?
KASELL: He is playing for Arne Bathke and Amy Lett of Lexington, Kentucky.
SAGAL: Ready to do this?
SAGAL: Here is your first question. It is well known that on his historic visit to China, President Nixon received a pair of pandas from Chairman Mao. Panda diplomacy they called it. But what did Nixon give to Mao in return? Was it A: A pair of musk oxen? B: A chainsaw sculpture made by his aide Chuck Colson?
SAGAL: Or C: A secret tape of his and Chairman Mao's private conversations?
KRUGMAN: I'm going to go with the Musk oxen, although I have to say it doesn't sound so plausible.
SAGAL: It was in fact the Musk oxen.
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KRUGMAN: All right.
SAGAL: They were named Matilda and Milton. And after they were transferred to the Chinese, it was discovered they had mange. And this is all true. President Nixon told Kissinger to deal with it. I don't know why he gave them Musk oxen but he did.
ROCCA: Is that the scent? What is musk?
SAGAL: They're a breed of oxen.
SAGAL: Next question: In 2009, President Obama gave British Prime Minister Gordon Brown a set of DVDs of great American films. There was one problem, though, what? A: 18 of the 25 movies featured a British villain? B: They were American DVDs and would not play in British machines? Or C: Brown complained to Obama that he had already seen all of them?
KRUGMAN: I'm going to guess B, because I've had that problem.
KRUGMAN: Not being able to play European DVDs on our machine.
SAGAL: Yes, you're right.
(SOUNDBITE OF BELL)
SAGAL: They were Region 1 DVDs.
SAGAL: This was discovered when Brown sat down to watch one at 10 Downing Street. All right, you're doing very well. This befits a Nobel Prize winner. Last question: One of the oddest gifts presented to an American president in recent years was the gift from the billionaire Sultan of Brunei to President George W. Bush in 2004. What was it? Was it A: a concubine?
SAGAL: B: A copy of the book, "The Worst Case Scenario Handbook?" Or C: A simple plastic beach bucket and shovel?
KRUGMAN: Oh boy.
KRUGMAN: None of these is possible. So I'm going to go with the beach bucket.
SAGAL: Here, President, we want you to play with this.
AMSTELL: What voice were you doing there?
SAGAL: That was my Sultan of Brunei.
AMSTELL: It's very good.
SAGAL: Thank you.
SAGAL: You went for the beach bucket. No, it was actually the book "The Worst Case Scenario Handbook."
KRUGMAN: Oh good god.
SAGAL: The Sultan of Brunei presented that to the president of the United States, even though it's an American book. We don't understand why. It must prove that even the Sultan of Brunei, a billionaire who flies in a private 747, sometimes buys a last minute gift at the airport.
KRUGMAN: All right.
SAGAL: Carl, how did Paul Krugman do on our quiz?
KASELL: Well, Paul had two correct answers, Peter, and that was enough to win for Arne Bathke and Amy Lett of Lexington, Kentucky.
SAGAL: I'm guessing this is right up there with the Nobel Prize.
KRUGMAN: Oh, it's great. Yes.
KRUGMAN: I'll treasure this memory always.
SAGAL: I'm sure you will. Paul Krugman is a Nobel Prize winning economist and columnist for the New York Times. His latest book is "End This Depression Now." Professor Paul Krugman, thank you so much for joining us.
KRUGMAN: Thanks so much.
SAGAL: Thank you.
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