October 14, 2010
Anna Christopher, NPR
SHOWS REPUBLICANS MAINTAINING LEAD, DEMS MAKING UP SOME GROUND
POLL OF NEARLY 100 DISTRICTS ALSO FINDS REPUBLICANS MORE INTERESTED, ENGAGED IN MIDTERMS
The top-line findings and initial analysis of the NPR News poll are available now on the "It's All Politics" blog, and will be reported in full by correspondent Mara Liasson tomorrow on Morning Edition.
Among the findings:
· A majority (52%) of voters in GOP districts approve of their member of Congress. Voters in Democratic districts are more divided (44% approve, 41% disapprove).
· A majority of voters in target Democratic and Republican districts are pessimistic about the country’s direction. Disapproval is higher in Democratic districts (66%) than Republican districts (59%).
· The majority of voters in target Democrat-held districts disapprove of President Obama (55% disapprove, to 41% approve), while voters in Republican districts that are top Democratic targets (they voted for Obama but also elected a Republican to Congress) have a 51% approval of the President.
For the NPR poll, Democrat Stan Greenberg and Republican Glen Bolger surveyed likely voters in the 96 most competitive house districts. These battleground seats – 86 held by Democrats and 10 held by Republicans – represent one-quarter of the House and are considered the most likely to oust incumbents this fall. This is the second NPR News poll of battlegrounds in this election; a survey of 70 districts in June 2010 showed likely voters favoring Republican candidates over Democratic incumbents, 49 percent to 41 percent.
NPR News is providing extensive coverage of the 2010 midterm election across all of its programs and at NPR.org, exploring the issues, candidates, polling and policies from locations across America. All coverage and resources are aggregated at Election 2010: The Midterms, from the "Fighting Words" of the moment (and the people using them, on both sides of the aisle); to the projected "Scorecard" in Congress; to fact-checking campaign rhetoric with "The Message Machine."