Giuliani and the Robertson Endorsement: A Sort of Focus Group
Filed under:
On the air today, I surmised that Pat Robertson endorsing Rudy Giuliani might hurt Giuliani in the primary. My logic was that one of Rudy's main selling points to Republicans was that he has the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton. He mentions this quite often.
But the kind of moderate swing voters who elected and re-elected Giuliani mayor (he even carried Manhattan in 1997) will be turned off by his getting into bed with Robertson. John McCain can now make the point that he can beat Hillary, and indeed he has been doing this.
Now, perhaps McCain can convincingly argue the he can even challenge Rudy in New York and California, such is the disconnect between the values of those voters and the values of so-called values voters.
Such is my theory that I focus-grouped it on three individuals who identify as moderate Republicans, who have no love for the religious right, who say they might very well vote for Rudy.
I asked them all if the Robertson endorsement was a big problem -- or just one of the hoops Rudy has to jump through to get the job?
Guess what? My theory melted on contact.
Two said, essentially, that it's just what you have to do to get elected. One of the reasons they like Rudy is that he is a practical guy and a practical guy lines up endorsements from evangelical leaders in order to get the nomination.
The third fellow (Hi, Dad) I spoke with says he has very much soured on Giuliani already. Liked him as mayor, but doesn't recognize the arguments he's making on the campaign trail. To this unnamed individual with the same last name and half the genetic code of your correspondent, one of the biggest selling points was Rudy's intelligence -- the way in a news conference or on his radio show he would lay out convincing arguments -- but on the campaign trail he seems to be embracing slogans and turning into a demagogue.
What about, I asked, the prospect of having an Italian American in the White House? Answer: "I'd be proud, but you have to do more that have a vowel at the end of your last name to earn my vote." Hear that, Obama?
2:04 PM ET | 11- 8-2007 | permalink




