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Does Latest Al-Qaida Message Signal U.S. Attack?

The man who led the CIA hunt for Osama bin Laden from 1996 to 1999 believes that al-Qaida has signaled to the United States that it is about to launch another attack.

In an article for the Jamestown Foundation, where he is now a senior fellow, Michael Scheuer looks at the role of Adam Gadahn -- the American from California now known as Azzam al-Amriki (Azzam the American). Scheuer believes that Gadahn, while only a member of the al-Qaida media committee (who knew they even had one), has become the third most important public spokesman for the terrorist group, especially in its occasional messages meant for the American public.

Scheuer sees Gadahn's most recent video message, delivered not in the strident tones of bin Laden, but in the slang and catchphrases of an American, as a blunt warning from al-Qaida that time is up for Americans.

Gadahn's words also have a note of finality about them, as if he is saying there will be no more warnings from al-Qaida, and the choice for Americans is between surrender and domestic attack. Again, this is out of character for the rhetoric of bin Laden and al-Zawahiri, and it suggests that they ordered Gadahn to make a last-warning to Americans before al-Qaida attacks inside the United States.

But Gadahn's "warnings" are just a list of "implacable demands" that al-Qaida knows will never be met. Scheuer compares them to the type of demands the Austro-Hungarian Empire made of Serbia in 1914 just before it attacked.

 

Comments

Every time this administration is censured or in deep trouble with the public, they pull out another "terrorist attack" from their hat to divert attention.... "The sky is NOT falling chicken little but, if you keep this up, on day it might and we won't believe you.....

Sent by Al Redlhammer | 11:43 AM ET | 06-07-2007

Scheuer is not part of the administration. He has been very critical of their handling of al-Qaida for years. If he is concerned, it is likely a legitimate concern, and it is not another Bush BS move.

Sent by Mike Ivy | 1:25 PM ET | 06-07-2007

Thanks for your comments folks. Mike, your point is the reason why I did this piece.


While I think the administration does tend to treat every incident like it's "the Big one," Scheuer has been a constant critic of both the Clinton and Bush administrations' handling of terror issues. I'm not going to start worrying every time I board a Metro in DC, but I do think that if Scheuer is worried that something might happen, we need to be more aware.

Sent by Tom Regan | 1:42 PM ET | 06-07-2007

Be more aware and...do what? I just don't understand what a piece that literally has no suggestions regarding anything that should be done by anyone is particularly productive. The article in question really doesn't say anything except "something terrible is going to happen," based on fairly subjective interpretations and some claims that previous messages have all been "patient" and "in sorrow not anger," which isn't at all true. The same messenger's last message talked gleefully about slitting the throats of the infidels. I'm just not sure what's gained from this kind of thing other than doing exactly what terrorism is intended to do which is make people terrified.

Sent by Linda | 6:49 PM ET | 06-07-2007

Has any forgot Sept 11, 01..911? With the nations independence day coming up and the date being 747, I think it bears watching.

Sent by Clifford Harris | 7:05 PM ET | 06-08-2007

I don't think this is just another Bush-alarm, especially considering the source (Scheuer). He's not connected to the raw data anymore, since he's no longer on the inside. Similarly, he's not burdened with the bureaucratic fog that comes with it. Since he 'got into their minds', he still understands the al Qaeda layout and players, and can connect the dots better than most. I see his warning (an educated guess) as a public message to those who ply the raw data today: "Start knuckling down for clues."

Sent by Al Piet | 9:17 AM ET | 06-09-2007



   
   
   
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