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Debate Last GOP Showdown Before Caucuses

On Tuesday, much of the Midwest, including Iowa, was blanketed with snow and freezing rain. Many candidates canceled campaign events and hunkered down, probably happy for an extra day to prepare for the Des Moines Register debates; the Republicans today and the Democrats tomorrow.

Yet for all the bad weather, it's always cheerful these days in Mike Huckabee's Iowa headquarters. NPR's Scott Horsley reports that the former Arkansas governor's dramatic rise in the polls since the summer has heartened state campaign manager Eric Woolson.

"As a result of the poll numbers being up, fundraising is up," Woolson said. "The number of volunteers are up ... It all goes hand in hand. I've never really seen a candidate catch fire like this."

Huckabee seems to have connected with the conservative sweet spot that all the Republican candidates have been courting: a new poll shows that much of his support is coming from weekly churchgoers, evangelicals, and anti-abortion voters. They are worried about the more liberal Rudy Giuliani getting the nomination, and by an Iowa judge's ruling last summer in favor of same-sex marriage.

But longtime frontrunner Mitt Romney's not conceding the field. He launched a new ad yesterday that contrasted his record on immigration (very tough, the ad says) and Huckabee's (labeled not tough enough). But Huckabee was quick to regain his footing, getting the support of some important anti-immigration groups, like the Minutemen.

It will all make for some lively theater today. You can catch the debate on CNN starting at 2 p.m. EST. Our correspondents will also have reports from the site.

 

Comments (Send a comment)

Okay, how prophetic are the Iowa causcuses in chosing the eventual White House winner. I went into Wikipedia to get the history. You decide for yourselves.

Of course, it would help if you knew who won the presidential election in those years. For example:
Republicans:
1976- Gerald Ford defeated Ronald Reagan
Democrats:
January 19, 1976 - "Uncommitted" (37%) defeated Jimmy Carter* (28%) Birch Bayh (13%), Fred R. Harris (10%), Morris Udall (6%), Sargent Shriver (3%) and Henry M. Jackson (1%)

Ford lost to Carter in that election.

fred call


Bolded candidates eventually won their party's nomination. Candidates with an asterisk (*) subsequently won the presidency.


[edit] Democrats
January 19, 2004 - John Kerry (38%) defeated John Edwards (32%), Howard Dean (18%), Richard Gephardt (11%) and Dennis Kucinich (1%)
January 24, 2000 - Al Gore (63%) defeated Bill Bradley (37%)
February 12, 1996 - Bill Clinton* (unopposed)
February 10, 1992 - Tom Harkin (76%) defeated Paul Tsongas (4%), Bill Clinton* (3%), Bob Kerrey (2%) and Jerry Brown (2%)
February 8, 1988 - Richard Gephardt (31%) defeated Paul Simon (27%), Michael Dukakis (22%) and Bruce Babbitt (6%)
February 20, 1984 - Walter Mondale (49%) defeated Gary Hart (17%), George McGovern (10%), Alan Cranston (7%), John Glenn (4%), Reubin Askew (3%) and Jesse Jackson (2%)
January 21, 1980 - Jimmy Carter (59%) defeated Ted Kennedy (31%)
January 19, 1976 - "Uncommitted" (37%) defeated Jimmy Carter* (28%) Birch Bayh (13%), Fred R. Harris (10%), Morris Udall (6%), Sargent Shriver (3%) and Henry M. Jackson (1%)
January 24, 1972 - Edmund Muskie (36%) defeated George McGovern (23%), Hubert Humphrey (2%), Eugene McCarthy (1%), Shirley Chisholm (1%) and Henry M. Jackson (1%)

[edit] Republicans
2004- George W. Bush* (unopposed)
2000- George W. Bush* (41%) defeated Steve Forbes (30%), Alan Keyes (14%), Gary Bauer (9%), John McCain (5%) and Orrin Hatch (1%)
1996- Bob Dole (26%) defeated Pat Buchanan (23%), Lamar Alexander (18%), Steve Forbes (10%), Phil Gramm (9%), Alan Keyes (7%), Richard Lugar (4%) and Morry Taylor (1%)
1992- George H. W. Bush (unopposed)
1988- Bob Dole (37%) defeated Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush* (19%), Jack Kemp (11%) and Pete DuPont (7%)
1984- Ronald Reagan* (unopposed)
1980- George H. W. Bush (32%) defeated Ronald Reagan* (30%), Howard Baker (15%), John Connally (9%), Phil Crane (7%), John B. Anderson (4%) and Bob Dole (2%)
1976- Gerald Ford defeated Ronald Reagan

Sent by fred call | 12:55 PM ET | 12-12-2007

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