Absentee, Early Voters Could Be Big Help to Giuliani
What if they gave a primary ... but it had already been decided before the actual day people went to the polls?
And it has nothing to do with manipulating the vote or stealing an election. But in big states like Florida and California, that have liberal absentee and early voting laws, enough people may have voted in advance that the election's outcome may already be decided, but just unknown.
In Florida, for instance, the early voting laws could be a big help to a candidate like Rudy Giuliani, who has been campaigning in the state for more than 50 straight days. If the Giuliani campaign has been able to persuade enough supporters to vote in early January, when absentee voting started, or after Jan. 14, when early voting was allowed - it could help blunt the recent surge of Sen. John McCain in the state. (Giuliani had long lead polls in the state until the past few days.)
On the other side, a candidate it could hurt is former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney. Once Sen. Fred Thompson announced Tuesday he was ending his campaign, the chatter on many websites and blogs was that a chunk of his support would go to Romney. But if many of those Thompson supporters have already voted, then those votes are like Confederate currency - basically worthless. And there are no mulligans on voting day, which means that Romney will have lost the chance to get the support of those early Thompson voters.
All of this means a much more complex strategy is needed by campaign organizers and, of course, more money to go into these big states to convince people to vote early for their candidates.
12:30 PM ET | 01-23-2008 | permalink

