NPR: California Poll Shows Dramatic Changes in GOP Primary

California Poll Shows Dramatic Changes in GOP Primary

As musician Mark Knopfler once wrote, "Some days you're the windshield and some days you're the bug." Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani must be feeling kind of buggy these days. Recent polls in Florida and New York have shown his once large leads in those Republican primaries have vanished and he has fallen out of the frontrunner position in both states. Now the California Poll by the Field Organization shows that California is bugging Giuliani too.

A month ago, he led the GOP field in the Golden State with 25 percent. The new poll, out today, shows that he is in fourth place with 11 percent. Sen. John McCain leads with 22 percent, former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney is next with 18 percent, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee is tied with Giuliani at 11, the now departed former Tenn. Sen. Fred Thompson with 9 percent, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul bringing up the rear with seven percent.

But as Poll director Mark DiCamillo told Alex Chadwick on Day to Day, the most interesting number may be the 21 percent who told pollsters they were undecided. And the toughest question the candidates may need to deal with is illegal immigration, a "tough balancing act" in a state where 35 percent of the population is Hispanic.

6:41 PM ET | 01-23-2008 | permalink

Comments

Florida Polls Mean Nothing Whacky Florida Politics 101:

The early Demorcratic voter turnout in Florida has been high.

Because Floridians are voting on a very contentious, statewide tax referendum, and they are voting in several very contentious local mayorial races.

The numbers do not reflect Floridian anger at the DNC boycott of Florida.

fred camorra call

Sent by fred camorra call | 10:45 AM ET | 01-24-2008

Republicans can't even stand the so called top four front runners.
(Rumy, McCon, Ghuliani and Huckleberry)

and NO ONE in the media is talking about RON PAUL?

WE THE PEOPLE ARE talking about RON PAUL.

He is a True Statesman and not a Politician.

Sooner or later the Ruling Elite better start listening or start running!

Peace

Sent by NWO HUNTER | 1:07 AM ET | 01-25-2008

Ron Paul's numbers are going to be much higher in California where he has a lot of support. These polls are conducted on land line telephones. The majority of 18-40 year olds that will be voting in the upcoming primary don't own land line phones. They use their cell phones. These polls are completely off. Ron Paul came in 2nd in Nevada. He should do just as well in California in either 1st or 2nd.

Sent by JC | 4:21 PM ET | 01-26-2008

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