NPR: Will Gender Gap Hurt Obama in Nevada?

Will Gender Gap Hurt Obama in Nevada?

A poll conducted for the Las Vegas Review, and published in today's edition, shows Sen. Hillary Clinton with a "comfortable lead" over Sen. Barack Obama in Nevada. The poll, conducted by the Mason-Dixon organization, shows Clinton with a nine-point lead, 41 to 32, with John Edwards with 14 percent.

The Chicago Tribune's The Swamp notes, however, that it is very difficult to poll in a caucus state, especially in one with no recent history of importance in the presidential campaign. But Clinton has a substantial lead among women - 49 percent, compared to 28 percent for Obama - and among those over 50.

Obama leads among men - but only 37 to 30 percent. He also had a seven percent lead in union housholds and a huge 45 percent lead among African-Americans, but they make up just 10 percent of likely caucus-goers.

On the Republican side, Mitt Romney leads John McCain by 15 points, 34 percent to 19 percent. The real story on the GOP side is the collapse of the support for Rudy Giuliani, who lead the last poll the paper did in early December.

3:29 PM ET | 01-18-2008 | permalink

Comments

Of course age,religion & gender play role, & we can be a better society if we admit it & try to change it rather than pretending its not existant.
It is VERY INTERESTING that the media reported Rudolph Guiliani is the national frontrunner in most states & yet he was at the bottom of the list in IO,NH,MI,NV&SC
The conclusion is either those reports were not valid which mean it shouldn't be used in the future (predicting how a candidate will do months before the real elections)
or they are just not honest reporting.
And now you see the media talking about nothing but FLORIDA IS GUILIANI COUNTRY,
I can not wait for the republican national frontrunner to be defeated in FL,not to mention NY,& if you watch his interview today with wolf blitzer you can understand why people do not want Guiliani.

Sent by resimc2 | 5:40 PM ET | 01-20-2008

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