Women Voters Propel Clinton to Victory
A poll by Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby had Sen. Hillary Clinton down by 13 points as late as Monday night. In fact, not a single poll taken over the last two days before the primary showed Clinton with a chance at victory. So how did she do it?
NPR's Mara Liasson says the main reason can be summed up in one word: women. Unlike Iowa, where a majority of women supported Barack Obama, women came back to Clinton in droves. She won the support of women 47 percent to 34.
Obama overwhelmingly held a lead among independents and first-time voters, although the number of first-time primary goers was up only slightly from 2004. Obama also won the youth vote: the 18 percent of the New Hampshire electorate under 30, while Clinton won among voters age 45 and older.
But Clinton was also ahead of Obama - 45 percent to 34 percent - among those who said they were registered Democrats. Those voters made up a majority -- 54 percent -- of all respondents.
And Clinton had another factor in her corner that was mentioned by several experts when asked to explain her victory. The work of former governor and now senate candidate Jean Shaheen, who Howard Fineman of NBC News calls "one the best organizers the Democratic Party has seen."
Then there was "the moment" Monday when Clinton seemed to almost tear up when talking to a group of voters in a New Hampshire coffee shop as she talked about her feelings about the campaign. (As NPR's Senior Washington Editor Ron Elving says, it will be a moment long -debated.) Many media pundits attacked her for the display of emotion, saying it made her look weak. But women seemed to respond to Clinton (one told NPR's Melissa Block last night it was the reason she switched from supporting Obama to Clinton), seeing it as a genuine display of passion and emotion about becoming president.
But as Ron says, maybe it wasn't so much the actual moment itself, as much as it was the symbol of a larger change in the Cinton campaign approach.
6:16 AM ET | 01- 9-2008 | permalink

