New Poll Shows Obama Leading in Texas
A new Survey USA poll of Texas voters shows that Senator Barack Obama has pulled into a slight lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton. According to the group's poll of 2000 Texans from Feb. 23 to 25, Obama now leads 49 percent to 45 percent. A week ago Clinton led a Survey USA poll of Texas 50 to 45.
But it's the pollster's breakdown of how the vote is changing within the various demographics in the state that is so fascinating:
SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, allow you to see the movement within the critical demographic subpopulations. Among Hispanic voters, Clinton led by 33 points last week, leads by 13 points today. Among women, Clinton had led by 27, now by 11. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, Obama had led by 6, now by 22. In North Texas (which includes Dallas and Fort Worth), Clinton had led by 2, now trails by 19. In East Texas (which includes Houston), Obama had led by 5, now leads by 18. Among registered Democrats, Clinton had led by 14, now by 2. Among voters focused on the Economy, Clinton had led by 5, now trails by 11. Among those who attend religious services regularly, Clinton had led by 7, now trails by 15. Among Pro-Life voters, Clinton had led by 1, now trails by 14. Among seniors, Liberals, voters in Central Texas, South Texas and West Texas, Clinton's support is holding.
But there are hints in the data that Clinton can still win. The pollsters determined that about 25 percent of the people they surveyed had already voted (Texas allows residents to vote before election day.) Of that 25 percent, 51 percent voted for Clinton while 46 percent voted for Obama.
3:14 PM ET | 02-27-2008 | permalink

