Obama Widening Lead in Texas, Catching up in Ohio
New Reuters/C-Span/Houston Chronicle polls show Illinois Sen. Barack Obama with a widening lead in Texas and that he has closed the gap between himself and Sen. Hillary Clinton in Ohio.
The poll shows Obama with 48 percent while Clinton has 42 percent. Obama is also strong in the Dallas and Houston areas, which will send a larger portion of delegates to the Democratic convention than the rural areas where Clinton is strong.
"Obama has built a six-point lead over Clinton in Texas, largely on the strength of support from what has come to be his base -- younger voters and men. Evidence of his persuasive powers comes from the fact that most of those who have most recently decided for whom to support, while Clinton won more support from early deciders."
Meanwhile in Ohio, Clinton has a two-point lead, 44 percent to 42 percent. Pollster John Zogby writes that "... the most telling numbers are those among early deciders vs. late deciders. Among those who made up their minds 'more than a month ago,' Clinton leads 63% to 37%. Obama leads but margins as big among those who made up their minds less than a month ago, a week ago, and within the past few days. In the same vein, Clinton leads by 6 among those who have already voted."
The Democratic Party surveys in Ohio included 708 likely voters, while the Texas survey of Democrats included 704 likely voters. Both surveys were conducted Feb. 26-28, 2008, and carry margins of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.
Update: Several other new polls out today. The American Research Group found that in Texas, Obama leads 51 percent to 44 percent, while in Ohio Clinton leads 50 to 45.
A Rasmussen Reports Survey of Ohio has Clinton with a 47 percent to 45 percent lead - making it a statistical tie.
1:15 PM ET | 02-29-2008 | permalink

