Some Pundits Think Obama Bubble About to Burst
As is the wont of their profession, some pundits - apparently worn out by the success of the Barack Obama campaign - have begun the "Obama is about to fall" chant. As Eric Pfeiffer points out at Congressional Quarterly's Ground Game, the reason for this bubble-bursting mood is that Obama's been, well, popular for too long.
For instance, Kevin Drum wrote Tuesday in Political Animal at Washington Monthly "...bubbles always burst, and Obama has been riding a major league bubble for months now. Before too much longer his supporters are going to come down to earth. Reporters will start wondering why Obama doesn't like to talk to them very much -- and then they'll get bored and cynical and start doing to him what they did to Howard Dean in 2004. John McCain is going to find his rhythm (though he hasn't yet) and start making some effective jabs. This backlash meme is already widespread, and you can almost feel in the air that it's about to explode into a feeding frenzy. In other words, it ain't over yet. Wisconsin and the two weeks after it should be interesting, shouldn't they?"
And then there is Paul Krugman of The New York Times writing "One thing I worry about a lot if Obama is the Dem nominee -- and he's surely the frontrunner now -- is that there will be a backlash against Obamamania. Actually, it's already starting -- probably too late to have much effect on the nomination fight, but in plenty of time to affect the general election."
But Pfeifer writes that early reports of Obama's demise have been greatly exaggerated: "Last time I checked, Obama has been both a media and grassroots darling going back to his July 24, 2004 Democratic National Convention speech in Boston. Obama critics like Krugman may be engaging in wishful thinking if they think his substantial popularity with liberals and many independents is a fluke. It's no guarantee he'll win the election, but a safe bet he will not suffer such a fate outlined by Kevin Drum."
5:12 PM ET | 02-20-2008 | permalink

