NPR: Polls Show Clinton Lead in Pennsylvania

Polls Show Clinton Lead in Pennsylvania

A new poll by McClatchy Newspapers, MSNBC and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette shows Sen. Hillary Clinton maintaining her middle-single digit lead in Pennsylvania.

And it's the support of white, working-class voters --"bowlers, gun owners and hunters in Pennsylvania, a blue-collar trifecta" --that continues to give her that five-point lead, 48% to 43%. Only beer drinkers don't prefer Clinton - she splits that vote with Obama.

Obama leads among blacks, voters younger than 35, Protestants, and those looking for change or honesty. He leads in the Philadelphia area.

Only seven percent of voters say that Wednesday night's debate influenced their views of the candidate.

The poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon, surveyed 625 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It was conducted by telephone April 17-18. It has a +/- of four percent and did not include cell phone users.

Ron Elving, NPR's Washington editor, talking about the Pennsylvania primary on Weekend Edition Sunday, said if Clinton does win, the argument will become was it enough "Is it the momentum builder, is it the factor she needed to turn it around," said Elving.
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8:44 AM ET | 04-20-2008 | permalink

Comments (Send a comment)

Zogby has a poll just released this morning showing Clinton's lead dwindling. "A new Zogby tracking poll shows Sen. Hillary Clinton remains barely ahead of Sen. Barack Obama leading up to Tuesday???s presidential primary in Pennsylvania.

Clinton???s advantage is just three points, 46% to 43%, but within the survey???s margin of error. She had a five point edge in yesterday???s poll."

Sent by Bruce | 10:08 AM ET | 04-20-2008

http://agonist.org/schecter/?p=9076

Sent by bruce | 10:10 AM ET | 04-20-2008

A lot of younger people have only a cell phone. These polls seem to not truly represent a cross section of the population. Internet polls on specific web sites only take a cross section of that targeted audience. Is polling becoming a less accurate tool...one only used for self fulfilling coercion? The herd mentality uses feedback from just a few members of the herd to ascertain the direction the herd is moving. Off the cliff we go!

Sent by jeff | 2:37 PM ET | 04-20-2008

I'd give Obama the error difference and call it good.

Sent by george | 3:01 PM ET | 04-20-2008

Reality is reality, people who concede the devil will continue to vote based on race. It is what it is!!!!!!!!!! To many undercover racist in the world

Sent by A realist | 11:08 AM ET | 04-22-2008

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