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Quinnipiac PA Poll Shows Obama Closing Fast

Over the past few days, there have been a couple of polls that have shown Sen. Barack Obama either tied, or ahead, in Pennsylvania. After the events of New Hampshire, media organizations have been a tad pickier about which polls to report, especially when the number of people polled resulted in a relatively large margin of error.

So when Quinnipiac University -- a much-trusted pollster -- released its latest poll on Pennsylvania this morning, people took notice. It showed that Sen. Barack Obama continues to gain ground on Sen. Hillary Clinton. Three weeks ago she was 12 points ahead, then last week it was nine points and this week it's six. And with the margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent, it could even technically be much closer. (Quinnipiac polled 1,340 likely voters.)

More on the poll:

* White voters for Clinton 56 - 38 percent, down from 59 - 34 percent last week.
* Black voters back Obama 75 - 17 percent, compared to 73 - 11 percent.
* Men are for Obama 48 - 44 percent, compared to a 46 - 46 percent tie last week.
* Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 - 40, while older voters back Clinton 55 - 38 percent.

"With two weeks to go, Sen. Barack Obama is knocking on the door of a major political upset in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary. Obama is not only building on his own constituencies, but is taking away voters in Sen. Hillary Clinton's strongest areas - whites including white women, voters in the key swing Philadelphia suburbs and those who say the economy is the most important issue in the campaign," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

 

Comments

I think it is likely that many voters who have decided early in the campaign to support Clinton (or McCain) will take a look at Obama seriously and then they will see what others are seeing. America is ready for a real change.

Sent by Gary | 10:53 AM ET | 04-08-2008

Whenever Obama's people really hit the ground, and, most importantly, when the candidate himself starts making personal appearances, he always starts to make gains.

We hope Obama will come to York, an important part of Pennsylvania's majority Republican "T" region, in which he must build support and votes even if he does not win the majority.

Sent by Judy McIlvaine | 11:10 AM ET | 04-08-2008

Ugh. Looks like we're headed for 4 more years of Mccain. Why do they insist on shoving Obama down our throats?

Sent by Angela | 11:26 AM ET | 04-08-2008

If the 28% of Hillary supporters who say they'd vote for McCain over Obama vote actually do it, then yeah, we're probably going to get McCain. Likewise, if the 19% of Obama voters who say the same about Hillary were to do so, we'd be in equally dire straits.

Whoever concedes on the Democratic side had better do a hell of a good job endorsing the party's candidate.

And who is "they" shoving Obama down our throats? Last year, I felt like Hillary was being rammed through, with all the talk of her inevitability and political superstardom and destiny, etc. etc.

But then I looked at the results of the primaries, and I stopped worrying :)

Sent by Ryan | 12:29 PM ET | 04-08-2008

McCain doesn't stand a chance against Obama! His political organization is masterful and a mirror of how he will lead our Nation as President.

I was listening to an interview in York PA today on NPR and was shocked and amazed that one woman hated Obama because she thought he was a Muslim! That's scary. Thought we had put that rumor to bed.

I agree that once you meet Obama and feel his energy of HOPE, you're hooked. We've had so much darkness! It's time for some light!

Sent by chris | 4:33 PM ET | 04-08-2008

The sorry thing is that of that percentage who won't vote for Hillary, for the vast majority it's because she's Hillary, not because she's female. Her detractors cut across racial, gender, educational and economic lines. The same cannot be said for the democrats who say that they won't vote or will vote McCain rather than voting for Obama. There the predominant characteristic is race.

We still have far far to go.

Sent by Allyn | 7:33 PM ET | 04-08-2008

Why is everyone who dislikes Obama labeled a racist? He does not make me hopeful, he makes me suspicious. What has he DONE in his life? What is his track record? NONE. The criteria for political success should not be charisma, perhaps that is why I am suspicious. In any event, his race is irrelevant to me.

Sent by Carolyn West | 10:05 PM ET | 04-08-2008

Experience? Check out the experience that Abraham Lincoln had before he became president. It takes inspiration to lead people. Hillary has ambition, Barack has vision.

Sent by Katherine Bartel | 9:06 AM ET | 04-09-2008



   
   
   
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