Judiciary Cmte Set To Vote On Sotomayor; 13-6 Tally Expected

The Senate Judiciary Committee meets at 10 a.m. ET to vote on the nomination of Judge Sonia Sotomayor to be an associate justice of the U.S. Supreme Court. Only one Republican on the committee — Lindsey Graham, a South Carolina conservative — has said he will vote to confirm her, so it looks like the tally will be 13-6.

For those of you who turn to this blog for guidance — God help those of you who do — I wrote the following in a July 16 post:

I say the committee will vote 13-6 to confirm.

In interests of full disclosure, however, that prediction was preceded by this:

There's no question that all 12 Democrats will vote for confirmation. I'm guessing that she'll get at least one GOP vote, and I'm thinking it's Orrin Hatch of Utah. Some of my colleagues are inclined to add S.C.'s Graham to that list, but I wonder.

For the record, the last Judiciary Committee vote on a Supreme Court nominee was on Jan. 24, 2006, involving President Bush's choice of Samuel Alito. The committee vote was straight party line: 10 Republicans in favor, 8 Democrats opposed.

In addition to Graham, four other Republicans have said they will support her confirmation, now thought to take place a week from Thursday (Aug. 6): Snowe and Collins of Maine, Lugar of Indiana, and Martinez of Florida.

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