Poll Closing Times For Today's Contests; How Readers Predict The Results

Primaries today in four states:  Arkansas, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.  Here are the times when the polls close (all times Eastern):

Arkansas:  8:30 p.m.

Kentucky:  7 p.m.

Oregon:  11 p.m.

Pennsylvania:  8 p.m.

Speaking of "polls," here's the latest look at the numbers for my unofficial poll on who readers think will be today's winners:

In the Arkansas Democratic Senate primary, 60 percent of those responding think two-term incumbent Blanche Lincoln will defeat her main challenger, Lt. Gov. Bill Halter.  I agree.  And 53 percent think the race will go on to a June runoff.  I agree with that too.

In the Kentucky Republican Senate primary, a whopping 85 percent think Rand Paul will defeat Secretary of State Trey Grayson for the seat being vacated by GOP incumbent Jim Bunning.  A smaller, but still sizable, number — 60 percent — think state Attorney General Jack Conway will beat Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo for the Democratic nomination.  Many polls indicate that race is too close to call.  I agree with both of these Kentucky picks.

Even more startling, an overwhelming 72 percent say Rep. Joe Sestak will knock off Sen. Arlen Specter in the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary; that's another contest that is thought to be a tossup.  But I agree with that one too.

Finally, in the big story of the day, a surprising 61 percent say Democrat Mark Critz will defeat Republican Tim Burns for the congressional seat left vacant following the death of John Murtha (D).  I'm sick and tired of agreeing with everyone all the time; I'm going to go with Burns on this one.

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