The Map

Obama Holds Narrow Lead In 6 Of 10 Toss-Ups

Out of the 10 Toss-Up states between Obama and McCain on the NPR/NewsHour Election Map: Obama is narrowly ahead in 6, McCain in 3 and they are tied in 1.

Not including the Toss-Ups, NPR's Ken Rudin projects: Obama with 210 electoral votes, McCain with 200. Pushing the Toss-Ups based on Real Clear Politics averages Obama comes up with 273 and McCain comes up with 252

CO: Obama +1.2 9EV
IA: Obama +5.3 7EV
MI: Obama +4.3 17EV
NH: Obama +0.3 4 EV
NM: Obama +1.0 5EV
PA: Obama +5.0 21EV

FL: McCain +3.5 27EV
NV: McCain +3.0 5EV
OH: McCain +1.2 20EV

VA:TIE 46/46 13EV



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How are the polls measured? If they are measured by telephone landlines they may be missing the vast majority of young and newly registered voters (primarily for Obama) who use cell phones exclusively. Thoughts?

Sent by Leslie | 1:02 PM | 9-18-2008