Obama Gains Slight Lead In New National Polls
There's a new batch of national polls just out (CBS/NY Times, Quinnipiac, Hotline and Gallup, etc.) that gives Obama a slight lead over McCain. RealClear Politics calculates Obama's average lead in these national polls as 0.9 percent.
The New York Times suggests that the polls numbers may have shifted in Obama's favor because McCain's post-convention bounce is waning. McCain also may be hurt by the financial implosion on Wall Street, which some argue makes it harder for him to distance himself from the President Bush's economic legacy.
A more nuanced view comes from the polling in the battleground states such as Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Indiana and Wisconsin. There, CNN polling shows that the race remains tight.
But the folks over at the fivethirtyeight argue that it's increasingly difficult to interpret these state-by-state polling numbers -- in part, because there seems to a gap in polling in terms of who's winning the popular vote vs. the Electoral College.
-- Nancy Cook
11:07 AM ET | 09-18-2008 | permalink



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