NPR's Ken Rudin has once more gazed into his crystal ball. This time he came up with some good news for Barack Obama. The big shift in the NPR-NewsHour Election Map towards Obama is based on Rudin moving Florida from Leaning McCain to Tossup. He also took Pennsylvania out of Tossup and branded it Leaning Obama — for the time being.
As of today the NPR-NewsHour Election Map lists McCain with 200 EVs and Obama with 269. Those numbers include states that are Strong and Leaning.
Strong Obama:
WA (11), OR (7), CA (55), HI (4), IL (21), NY (31), ME (4), VT (3), MA (12), RI (4), CT (7), NJ (15), DE (3), MD (10), DC (3) = 190
Strong McCain:
AK (3), ID (4), UT (5), AZ (10), WY (3), ND (3), SD (3), NE (5), KS (6), OK (7), TX (34), AR (6), LA (9), MS (6), AL (9), GA (15), SC (8), TN (11), KY (8), WV (5) = 160
Leaning Obama:
CO (9), NM (5), MN (10), IA (7), WI (10), MI (17), PA (21) =79
Leaning McCain:
MT (3), MO (11), IN (11), NC (15) = 40
Tossup:
NV (5), OH (20), VA (13), FL (27), NH (4) = 69


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