Maine - Governor

as of October 31

The Candidates

Photo of Libby Mitchell

Libby Mitchell

  • Democrat
  • Birthdate: June 22, 1940
  • Residence: Vassalboro, ME

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Photo of Paul LePage

Paul LePage

  • Republican
  • Birthdate: October 9, 1948
  • Residence: Waterville, ME

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Photo of Eliot Cutler

Eliot Cutler

  • Independent
  • Birthdate: July 29, 1946
  • Residence: Cape Elizabeth, ME

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Previous Results

    Maine Governor (2006)

    Candidate Party Votes %
    John Baldacci DEM 209,927 38.1%
    Chandler Woodcock REP 166,425 30.2%
    Barbara Merrill UNE 118,715 21.6%
    Patricia LaMarche GRE 52,690 9.6%
    Phillip NaPier UNE 3,108 0.6%

    U.S. President: Maine (2008)

    Candidate Party Votes %
    Barack Obama DEM 421,923 57.7%
    John McCain REP 295,273 40.4%
    Ralph Nader IND 10,636 1.5%
    Cynthia McKinney GRE 2,900 0.4%

    state Election Profile

Source: Associated Press

Recent Analysis

Oct 31, 2010

New Sabato's Crystal Ball Rating

Lean-R (was Toss-up)

    Oct 29, 2010

    New NPR Rating

    Lean-R (was Toss-up)

      Oct 19, 2010

      Independent's Surge Could Help GOP

      There seems to be a surge for independent candidate Eliot Cutler in a state that has elected two independent governors over the past quarter-century. But for the most part, Cutler is advancing at the expense of the Democratic nominee, Libby Mitchell ... which could elect GOP candidate Paul LePage. Toss-up for now, with slight advantage for LePage. -Ken Rudin

        Oct 1, 2010

        New Cook Political Report Rating

        Toss-up (was Lean-D)

          Sep 1, 2010

          Independents Make Race Hard To Call

          Incumbent John Baldacci (D), first elected in 2002, is term limited. Maine seems to be a reliably Democratic state when it comes to gubernatorial contests -- only one Republican, John McKernan, has won since the mid-1960s. But in that time period, two independents (Jim Longley in 1974 and Angus King in 1994 and '98) have also won, which makes forecasting this year's race tough to do.

          The Democratic nominee is Libby Mitchell, the president of the state Senate, who has been around politics for quite some time; in 1984, she was her party's U.S. Senate nominee against GOP incumbent Bill Cohen. She has strong support from the state AFL-CIO and the teachers union. On the Republican side, Paul LePage, the mayor of Waterville, won an upset victory in the June GOP primary, thanks to early backing from Tea Party supporters.

          The leading independent candidate in the race is Eliot Cutler, a former aide to the late Sen. Ed Muskie (D) who worked in the administration of President Jimmy Carter. Democrats say LePage is too far to the right to win; Republicans counter that Mitchell is too beholden to the unions to succeed. Cutler has little chance of winning, but he could help the Republicans win. Two other independents are on the ballot. -Ken Rudin

          New NPR Rating

          Toss-up

             

            About The Scorecard

            Photo of Ken RudinExplore how NPR's Ken Rudin and other influential political watchers are calling key House, Senate and governor races.

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