New York - Governor

as of October 31

The Candidates

Photo of Andrew Cuomo

Andrew Cuomo

  • Democrat
  • Birthdate: December 17, 1957
  • Residence: New York, NY

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Photo of Carl Paladino

Carl Paladino

  • Republican
  • Birthdate: August 14, 1946
  • Residence: Buffalo, NY

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Previous Results

    New York Governor (2006)

    Candidate Party Votes %
    Eliot Spitzer DEM 3,086,709 69.6%
    John Faso REP 1,274,335 28.7%
    Malachy McCourt GRE 42,166 1%
    John Clifton LIB 14,736 0.3%
    Jimmy McMillan ALL 13,355 0.3%
    Maura DeLuca SOC 5,919 0.1%

    U.S. President: New York (2008)

    Candidate Party Votes %
    Barack Obama DEM 4,804,945 62.9%
    John McCain REP 2,752,771 36%
    Ralph Nader POP 41,249 0.5%
    Bob Barr LIB 19,596 0.3%
    Cynthia McKinney GRE 12,801 0.2%
    Roger Calero SOC 3,615 0%
    Gloria La Riva SOC 1,639 0%

    state Election Profile

Source: Associated Press

Recent Analysis

Oct 31, 2010

New Sabato's Crystal Ball Rating

Safe-D (was Lean-D)

    Oct 19, 2010

    Cuomo Still Safe In New York

    Carl Paladino (R) makes great copy but this race is nowhere toward being competitive. State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D), hardly Mr. Popular, wins this going away. -Ken Rudin

      Oct 1, 2010

      New Sabato's Crystal Ball Rating

      Lean-D (was Safe-D)

        Sep 27, 2010

        An Empire State Shocker

        As unsettling as the Democratic situation has been these past years -- going from Eliot Spitzer to David Paterson and now likely to Andrew Cuomo -- the Republican story has been chaotic.

        First, GOP state chair Ed Cox tried to get a Democrat, Suffolk County Executive Stephen Levy, as his party's gubernatorial candidate. Then the party endorsed former Rep. Rick Lazio, last seen in a losing Senate bid against Hillary Clinton in 2000. But Carl Paladino, a boisterous/brash Buffalo businessman, who had to petition his way onto the primary ballot, shockingly beat Lazio going away. Paladino epitomizes the Howard Beale character in Network -- he is mad as hell and won't take it anymore.

        It's hard to make the case that anger alone will elect him to the governorship. But he is a street fighter who knows how to hit after the bell, and the question is how Cuomo intends to respond. Cuomo is also known to fight dirty if necessary, but he seems to be more content to leave it to others.

        Paladino received two boosts in late September. One was a Quinnipiac University poll that had him within six points of Cuomo -- a number few believed was real but, at the least, made people sit up and take notice. The other was the decision by Lazio, who was on the ballot as the Conservative Party candidate, not to pursue the governorship. The Conservative Party is now expected to endorse Paladino. No New York Republican has won statewide without the Conservative Party line since 1974. -Ken Rudin

          Sep 2, 2010

          Cuomo Seems Invincible In New York

          Incumbent David Paterson (D), who became governor in March 2008 following the resignation of scandal-tarred Eliot Spitzer (D), is not running. Paterson's ascension to the governorship was a shock to everyone, not the least of whom was Paterson, who never showed any outward ambition to become a statewide figure. The state's first African-American lieutenant governor, he was picked by Spitzer to be his running mate in 2006 with no controversy attached, probably because the state was so tired of Republican (Gov. George Pataki) rule after 12 years that Spitzer could have picked anyone to join his ticket.

          But Paterson proved to be an exceptionally inept governor, unable to work with the Democrat-controlled state Legislature or show much leadership. The end for Paterson came when he was embroiled in a case in which a top aide had physically battered an ex-girlfriend and Paterson looked like he was more interested in protecting the aide than anything else. But polls from the outset showed that Paterson stood little chance in the Democratic primary against Andrew Cuomo, the state attorney general and son of a previous governor, Mario Cuomo.

          Andrew Cuomo had run for governor once before -- a disastrous effort in 2002 in which he foundered against his primary opponent, Carl McCall. But he was seen as invincible in 2010, a fact that hung over Paterson's head since the day he became governor. Cuomo has not been specific about how he would deal with the myriad issues facing New York but, according to polls, there seems to be no need to.

          The Republicans will choose their candidate on Sept. 14. -Ken Rudin

          New NPR Rating

          Safe-D

             

            About The Scorecard

            Photo of Ken RudinExplore how NPR's Ken Rudin and other influential political watchers are calling key House, Senate and governor races.

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