NPR logo

Researchers Contrast Statistics with Intuition

  • Download
  • <iframe src="https://www.npr.org/player/embed/1584411/1584412" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player">
Researchers Contrast Statistics with Intuition

Science

Researchers Contrast Statistics with Intuition

Researchers Contrast Statistics with Intuition

  • Download
  • <iframe src="https://www.npr.org/player/embed/1584411/1584412" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player">

A growing school of thought suggests that precise statistical formulas may be more reliable than human intuition in predicting behavior. The perception could affect the workings of groups like parole boards, which often factor in gut instincts to decide whether an inmate is ready for release. NPR's Alix Spiegel reports.