U.S. Stance on Iraq Contrasts with Intelligence The U.S. National Intelligence Council's assessment of Iraq's future is less optimistic than the scenario drawn by the Bush administration. In a recent National Intelligence Estimate, the agency describes three possible outcomes. The worst is a spiral into civil war. The best is a shaky economic, political and security environment. President Bush's public comments on Iraq are more optimistic than even the best scenario described in the NIE. NPR's Michele Kelemen reports.