Poll Finds Anti-Incumbent Sentiment

What do Democrats, Republicans, Independents and NPR's Brian Naylor all share in common? They're watching the primaries today in Connecticut, to see if disgruntled Democrats toss out the man who almost became the nation's vice president: Sen. Joseph Lieberman. Voters either seem to love him and praise him for having the courage to side with Republicans when he thinks they're right, or voters detest him for allegedly being a hypocrite and a whiner.

Meanwhile, a new poll is sure to make Republicans across the whole country more nervous. An ABC News/Washington Post survey released yesterday evening suggests that more voters are fed up their current members of Congress than at any time since 1994. And remember what happened back then? Democrats out in the House, Republicans back in? This new poll reinforces the even scarier findings (scary if you're a Republican) of NPR's own survey a couple weeks ago. It found that key districts which went Republican last time around have flip-flopped and are now leaning Democratic. "What is surprising," says Ron Elving, our Washington editor, "is that the 2006 Democratic candidates were favored by an aggregate of six percentage points." Ron says that's an 18-point swing — in other words, a big deal.

Ron Elving's analysis after the jump...

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