Freddie, Fannie Rescue Could Cost $25 Billion
Price Tags For Rescue Plans
Keeping Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac afloat could set taxpayers back as much as $25 billion, a congressional budget analyst said Tuesday.
But if history is any indicator, that estimate might turn out to be chump change. Initial projections by the General Accounting Office in 1988 of the savings and loan bailout were in the same ballpark — $26 billion to $30 billion. The final cost to taxpayers, according to the GAO: $132 billion.
And the S&L industry chipped in another $40 billion.
Analysts pointed out that the price tag was actually even higher because of the interest paid on the cleanup money.
To save the day, Congress established the Resolution Trust Corporation. It:
• Shut down or merged 747 savings & loan associations
• Provided safe harbor to 25 million depositor accounts
• Sold more than $465 billion in assets, including 120,000 pieces of real estate
• Took six years to get the job done.
Compiled from news reports.
A federal rescue of troubled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could cost taxpayers as much as $25 billion, the Congressional Budget Office said Tuesday.
But CBO Director Peter R. Orszag said in a letter to lawmakers that there is a better than 50 percent chance that the government will not have to step in to prop up the companies by lending them money or buying stock.
Congress is expected to vote this week on a housing measure that includes Treasury Department authority to throw Fannie and Freddie a temporary lifeline.
Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson, who has been pressing for the power, says the backup plan will help to calm investors and stabilize financial markets.
Orszag said it's most likely that the companies will remain afloat and the government won't have to put up any money, but there's a very small possibility that Treasury will have to step in to help cover losses at Fannie and Freddie topping $100 billion. The $25 billion estimate reflects his office's best guess of how big a federal infusion would be needed.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Government Steps In To Rescue Fannie, Freddie
The federal government moved in to help bolster Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on Sunday with a Treasury Department proposal that sets the stage for a government-orchestrated rescue. In the short term, the plan enables the two quasi-governmental agencies to continue to borrow money at favorable rates in order to fund their operations.
Last week, concerns about the financial stability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were at the forefront of investors' minds, and shares of both companies tumbled.
Here, a look at some of the factors behind the rescue operation launched this weekend.
What is the government proposing?
The Treasury Department disclosed a three-part plan to enable both companies to continue to play "a central role" in the nation's housing market in their "current form as shareholder-owned companies."
The department's plan would temporarily increase Fannie and Freddie's line of credit with the Treasury; give the Treasury Department the ability to purchase stock in either of the two companies — if it becomes necessary; and give the Federal Reserve a say in setting financial requirements and standards for the companies.
The department said it arrived at the plan after consultations with the Federal Reserve, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight — the agency that regulates Fannie and Freddie — as well as the SEC, and Fannie and Freddie. Congress would have to approve any of the measures.
The Fed also said Sunday that the companies could borrow funds at a discounted rate — known as the "discount window" — from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York "should such lending prove necessary."
So does all of this amount to a bailout?
Right now, it's more of an effort to battle the markets' lack of confidence. Opening the discount window to Fannie and Freddie "instills confidence in investors, so investors will continue to fund Fannie and Freddie," says Frederick Cannon, chief equity strategist for Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. "I don't see them using the window."
Fannie and Freddie float bonds in the debt markets and use the money they raise to fund mortgages and guarantee mortgages. There has been no liquidity crisis for Fannie or Freddie, Cannon explains: "It's simply been a crisis of confidence in the equity." The actions over the weekend, he says, will enable the two companies to continue to support the mortgage market.
Why did the government choose to step in over the weekend?
The rescue effort was orchestrated to calm investors worldwide and to prevent the collapse of these two housing finance giants. Fannie and Freddie own or guarantee more than $5 trillion in mortgages — nearly half of all the mortgages issued in the United States.
The announcements on Sunday were intentionally made prior to the opening of the Asian stock markets and a Monday morning auction of $3 billion in securities by Freddie Mac.
Last week, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said no immediate bailout was necessary in an attempt to calm investors. The Treasury's proposal on Sunday reflects a shift in gears to assure investors that the companies have all the money they might need, and that there's no immediate danger of a collapse. It's also a means for encouraging the continued purchase of Fannie and Freddie's securities.
Both companies said on Sunday that they hold more than adequate capital. Freddie Mac also said it expected that its June 30 results will show that the firm has "a much greater surplus" above the minimum requirements.
What are the next steps?
The rescue provisions announced over the weekend will be added to a housing bill that is making its way through Congress. But Congress has to wrestle with a number of questions that regulators left unanswered. Fannie and Freddie are chartered by Congress, but they are public companies. What implications does this have for other private companies if the government bails out Fannie and Freddie? If the Treasury Department steps in and buys Fannie and Freddie stock, will those shares be of the same class as those held by institutional and indvidual investors, and will they be worth the same?
What are the implications of these proposals for taxpayers?
For years, advocates in Congress and in the private sector have been pushing for Fannie and Freddie to have a stronger, single regulator. Among those is FM Policy Focus, a group of financial services and housing organizations. Executive Director Mike House says the legislation in Congress now is "strong and adequate" for meeting this goal. The group also supports the Treasury's proposals, which it says "will prevent taxpayers from having to bear the burden on this."
House says the key thing is for "Congress to act expeditiously and get the legislation passed so that the market will get stabilized."
If I own a home or plan on purchasing a home, what does this mean for me?
The stability of the mortgage market — keeping money available for people to buy homes — is closely tied to Fannie and Freddie. That's because the companies presently fund a huge block of the nation's mortgages, and the cornerstone of their mission is to fund mortgages for low- and moderate-income buyers.
"My sense is that all the turmoil makes homeownership more difficult," both in terms of perceptions of homeownership and its value, says Bruce Gottschall, executive director of Neighborhood Housing Services, a Chicago-based nonprofit that assists low and moderate-income people with homeownership.
The tightening of the credit markets that has been building over the last couple of months impacts peoples' ability to borrow money to buy homes. "From our experience, those in the low and moderate income are hit hardest and earliest in terms of that availability of credit," he says.
With reporting by Jim Zarroli. The Associated Press contributed to this report.