The Recession Predictor, Still Predictive? Every time the yield curve has inverted since 1970, the economy has fallen into recession. It's getting close to inverting now, but it may no longer be the recession predictor it once was.
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The Recession Predictor, Still Predictive?

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The Recession Predictor, Still Predictive?

The Recession Predictor, Still Predictive?

The Recession Predictor, Still Predictive?

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  • <iframe src="https://www.npr.org/player/embed/627425359/627431946" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player">
  • Transcript

Every time the yield curve has inverted since 1970, the economy has fallen into recession. It's getting close to inverting now, but it may no longer be the recession predictor it once was.