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Should I Travel For Thanksgiving This Year?

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The Centers For Disease Control and Prevention advises that we all stay where we are this Thanksgiving to prevent the spread of the coronavirus. But Americans are traveling anyway.
The Associated Press reports that while flight bookings are down as much as 60 percent this year, U.S. airports are still processing as many as a million passengers a day. The decision about whether or not to travel this Thanksgiving is essentially a risk assessment.
As an economist at the Manhattan Institute, Allison Schrager studies risk for a living. She says that the risk of traveling during a pandemic is what's called a Bayesian calculation. It takes into account a variety of factors, including the neighborhood you live in, whether you've tested negative for the virus and how you plan to travel.
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