An economic sea shanty on how inflation expectations affect the economy : The Indicator from Planet Money Consumers' and businesses' inflation expectations usually stay safely anchored at the Fed's two percent target. But recently, that anchor has been slipping. It's one of the reasons inflation has risen.

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How inflation expectations affect the economy

How inflation expectations affect the economy

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Fox Photos/Getty Images
24th January 1936: The world&#039;s largest anchor chain, for the liner Majestic, dwarfs dock workers at Southampton. (Photo by Fox Photos/Getty Images)
Fox Photos/Getty Images

The Fed's dual mandate of managing unemployment and inflation is often likened to steering a ship on the high seas: huge economy, tough conditions, limited control. And usually, one of the things making it easier is its predictable two percent inflation target, which anchors consumers' and businesses' inflation expectations. (Pun intended.)

Recently, though, that anchor has seemed less ... anchored. That can become a self-fulfilling prophecy — when people's inflation expectations rise, actual inflation soon follows. Today, we board a pirate ship to find out why, and how to fix it.

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For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.