July 23, 2018; Washington, D.C. – A new poll by NPR/PBSNewsHour/Marist, one of the first polls conducted entirely after the Helsinki summit, reveals American attitudes on U.S.-Russia relations, the Mueller probe, Trump, and much more. The survey found that most Americans don't think Trump's been tough enough on Russia, believe the intelligence community assessment what happened in 2016, believe Russia interfered in that election (including a majority of Republicans) and is likely doing so again in these midterms.
More than seven in ten Americans (72%) trust the assessment of the CIA and the FBI that Russia interfered in the 2016 presidential election, over Russian President Putin who, according to President Trump, strongly denies his government's involvement. Furthermore, about six in ten Americans do not think President Trump is honest (61%), asserting that Trump tells the truth only some of the time, hardly ever, or never.
There is a strong gender gap in Trump's overall rating. Half of men approve of the job he's doing, while 62 percent of women disapprove. In fact, 57 percent of suburban women STRONGLY disapprove of him. That gender gap is also evident on foreign policy with nearly half (46&) of men saying he's bolstering the U.S. around the world, while nearly two-thirds of women (63%) saying he's weakened the U.S. on the world stage.
Top of mind when it comes to the consequences of President Trump's next Supreme Court appointment is abortion rights. Most Americans are in some gray area when it comes to Roe v. Wade and abortion rights, but just 17 percent of people say they think the Supreme Court should overturn Roe v. Wade outright. A majority support keeping it as is or expanding abortion rights.
Read More analysis from NPR HERE
You can also view the full survey HERE
All results are attributable to NPR/PBSNewsHour/Marist
- 64% don't think Trump's been tough enough on Russia, including 47% of Republicans.
- 53% don't think Trump's been above board in his dealings with Russia; 27% say they think Trump's done something illegal; 26% believe he's done something unethical but not illegal; 36% believe he's done nothing wrong.
- 69% believe Russia interfered in the 2016 U.S. election, including 51% of Republicans. 24% do not think Russia meddled in the electoral process.
- 63% believe Russia interfered and affected the 2016 election. 37% believe it changed the election.
- 57% believe it's likely or very likely Russia will interfere in the midterms, 38% believe it's not likely.
- 72% trust the assessment of the CIA and the FBI that Russia interfered in the 2016 presidential election.
- 45% believe Putin should be treated as an enemy, 44% believe he should be considered an ally.
- 59% of Americans think it is better to build relationships with Russia, 32% of Americans believe Russia should be treated as a threat.
- 46% of Americans say the Mueller probe is fair, 32% say it's been unfair. 50% of Republicans say it's been unfair, down from 55% in April
- 68% of Americans say Mueller should finish the investigation, and 17% think he should be fired. 60% of Republicans say he should be allowed to finish.
- 59% say the FBI is doing its job and not biased against Trump administration.
- 33% of Americans view Mueller favorably and 30% unfavorably. 37% either never heard of him or unsure how to rate him.
- 39% approve of the job President Trump is doing, 51% disapprove, including 41% who strongly disapprove and just 25% who strongly approve.
- 50% of men approve of the job Trump is doing, 39% disapprove
- 30% of women approve of the job Trump is doing, 62% disapprove. 57% of suburban women strongly disapprove of Trump
- 41% of Americans have a favorable view of Trump, 54% have an unfavorable view.
- 61% don't think Trump is honest (tells the truth only some of the time, hardly ever or never). 36% say he's truthful at least most of the time
- 56% think Trump tells the truth less often than past presidents, including 60% of independents who say so.
- 60% say they're embarrassed by Trump's behavior.
- 46% of Americans think Trump's actions at the latest NATO meeting hurt the relationships with the US allies, 19% say Trump helped.
- 54% of Americans think Trump has weakened the U.S. on the world stage, but that's down from 62% from last August when the president was at his lowest overall point.
- 63% of women think he's weakened the U.S. on the world stage, 28% say he has helped. 44% of men say he's weakened the U.S on the world stage, and 46% think he has helped.
- 46% of Americans say Trump has strengthened the US economy, 40% say he has weakened it.
- 49% say the direction Trump is taking the economy is change for the better. (Highest since inaugurated).
- Republicans and Democrats have the same approval rating – a dismal 23%, which is down 5 pts. Both parties are unpopular and increasingly so. For Democrats, it's the lowest since April 2011.
- 47% of registered voters nationally say they are more likely to vote for the Democrat in their district than the Republican (40%).
- Democrats have a 10-pt advantage on the question of who thinks November's elections are "very important." 78% of Dems say so, while 68% of Republicans do. That's reversed from 2014 when Republicans made big gains.
- 46% of Americans say their impression of Trump makes them more likely to vote for Democrats in the midterm elections, 37% say Trump makes them more likely to vote for Republicans. This is reversed from 2014 and higher overall (32/42), meaning Trump is a bigger factor in 2018 than Obama was in 2014.
- 60% of voters under 30 years old support the Democratic candidate in a generic ballot, 29% support a Republican.
- Kavanaugh is not a real factor in people's voting, except among activists. There's a real lack of consensus on Kavanaugh with people split on whether they'd vote more likely for a candidate who supports (31%) or opposes Kavanaugh (33%). 29% said he made no difference in their vote.
- Voting for someone who supports Kavanaugh is slightly more important to Republicans (68%) than voting for someone opposed to him is to Democrats (63%).
- 41% of Americans think Roe v. Wade should either be overturned (17%), or it should be kept but with more restrictions (24%). 36% say Roe v. Wade should either be kept but with fewer restrictions (15%) or expanded to allow an abortion under any circumstance (21%).
Ben Fishel, NPR Media Relations
Email: mediarelations (at) npr.org