November 19, 2019; Washington, D.C. — A new NPR/PBS NewsHour Marist Poll shows the nation is divided on the impeachment inquiry.
The poll also finds that people are paying at least fairly close attention (63%) to the impeachment hearings, but less than a third say their minds could be changed on whether they support impeachment. Among them, 4-in-10 independents say they're swayable, while just a quarter of Republicans and Democrats say they are.
Read more from NPR: HERE (link live at 5am)
The full findings are available: HERE (link live at 5am)
From what they've heard or read so far from the testimony and evidence presented, by a 47%-to-41% margin, people say they are more likely to support impeachment.
Half of people say they approve of the impeachment inquiry (50%) than don't (43%), which is about where it was a month ago (52%/43%).
But people are pretty much split down the middle on whether Trump should be impeached and removed from office, 45%-to-44%.
Many people think Trump's actions were wrong – 70% say it is unacceptable for a president to ask foreign leader to investigate a political opponent. But the question is: is that impeachable?
"Strictly on the merits of what has been presented, people think it is wrong for a president to interject a foreign leader into the United States' electoral politics," says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. "The disagreement is on whether or not it is a big deal which warrants impeachment."
On 2020, 69% of Dems say they're happy with the field. Less than a quarter say they're not. Three-quarters of Dems say they still haven't made up their minds on who to vote for.
Highlights of the poll are available below and can be cited with attribution to NPR/PBS NewsHour Marist Poll after the embargo
- 47% say evidence has made them more likely to support impeachment, versus 41% who say less likely
- 45% of Independents say the evidence has made them more likely to favor impeachment while 45% report it has made them less likely to do so.
- 65% of Americans say there really aren't any developments in the impeachment inquiry that would sway their position, while 30% say new information can change their mind.
- 30% who say they can change their minds includes 39% Independents, 25% Democrats, and 24% Republicans.
- 63/37 say they're following the news about impeachment "very" or "fairly" closely/not closely or at all
- 50% of Americans approve of the impeachment inquiry, while 43% disapprove. 30% strongly disapprove
- 46% of Independents approve of impeachment inquiry, and 46% disapprove
- 49% believe the impeachment is a serious matter, while 47% believe it's just politics, tighter than 51/46 last month.
- 45% believe Trump should be impeached and removed from office, 44% oppose or are unsure of either impeachment or removal.
- 47% believe Trump should just be impeached without removal, 46% oppose
- 56% support protecting the whistleblower's identity, 39% oppose.
- 70% believe it is unacceptable for a president to ask a foreign leader to investigate a political opponent, 22% think it's acceptable. Up slightly from 68/26 last month.
- 29% of voters nationally say they are less likely to vote for their representative if they vote to impeach President Trump. 19% report it will make them more likely to do so.
- 69/23 Dem voters and Dem-leaning indies satisfied/not satisfied with the field
- 75% still have not made up their mind in the Dem contest. That's less than 82% a month ago.
- Dems 46/41 advantage over republicans on generic congressional ballot. Last month was +3D
Among ALL registered voters, qualities people would be "enthusiastic" about voting for in a candidate:
- 71% woman
- 58% white man
- 54% business executive
- 53% gay or lesbian
- 52% candidate under 40
- 38% over 70
- 20% socialist
By party shows our two very different worlds...
Dems and dem leaning independents: woman (83%,) gay or lesbian (69%), Under 40 (62%), white man (53%), socialist (37%), business executive (34%), over 70 (31%)
GOP and Rep. leaning independents: business exec (78%), white man (65%), woman (59%), over 70 (45%), under 40 (37%), gay or lesbian (37%), socialist (4%)
- 41% approve of the job Trump is doing, 51% disapprove. (Unchanged from 42% last month). 29% strongly approve, 40% strongly disapprove
- 39% approve of Trump's foreign policy, 54% disapprove
- 33% approve of Trump's handling of Syria, 52% disapprove
- 39% will definitely vote for Trump, while 52% will definitely vote against him (unchanged from last month)
Ben Fishel, NPR Media Relations
Email: mediarelations (at) npr.org