Gallup: 54% Of Likely Voters Call Themselves Conservative : It's All Politics Gallup's findings that more likely voters identified as conservatives than moderate or liberal was another blow for Democrats hoping to keep control of Congress. In some ways, the numbers looked even worse than they did in 1994 when the GOP won.
NPR logo Gallup: 54% Of Likely Voters Call Themselves Conservative

Gallup: 54% Of Likely Voters Call Themselves Conservative

Gallup continued to pour cold water on Democrats' mid-term election hopes with an analysis it released Friday of likely voters.

The polling organization found 54 percent of likely voters identifying themselves as conservatives.

That compared with 40 percent of likely voters who identified themselves as conservative in 1994, the year Republicans took control of Congress in a mid-term seen as a repudiation of President Bill Clinton and his failed attempt to overhaul the nation's health-care system.

Earlier in the week, Gallup reported that its latest survey of likely voters gave congressional Republicans an 18 percent lead in generic approval ratings if a low turnout model was used compared with a 13 percent lead using a higher turnout model.

Meanwhile, the percentage of voters describing themselves as moderate is about 20 percentage points lower than it was in 1994, at 27 percent compared with 48 percent.

Indeed, that 27 percent declaring themselves to be moderates was significantly lower percentage of the electorate self-identifying in that way than in any congressional election cycle since 1994.

And it gets worse once you factor in the leanings of independents. A Gallup excerpt:

Once the "leanings" of independents are taken into account, the majority of the 2010 electorate, 57%, identifies either as Republicans or as independents who lean Republican, compared with 39% identifying as or leaning Democratic. The previous high was 51% in 2002.