The Recession Predictor
Yield Curve NPR hide caption
Yield Curve
NPRThere's a warning sign for the economy with an amazing track record: The last five times it flashed, the U.S. economy went into recession within about a year.
This economic crystal ball takes the views of people and institutions from from all around the world and boils them down into a single, simple signal.
The Indicator from Planet Money
The Recession Predictor
That signal is called the yield curve. It's not flashing now, at least not yet, but it might be close enough to make you nervous.
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