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Iran's currency, the rial, is in freefall. From Sunday to Monday, it lost nearly a third of its value against the dollar, and it's lost more today. Most economists say tough economic sanctions are behind the currency collapse. But Iran's government blames speculators in what it's calling defrauders.
NPR's Mike Shuster has the story.
MIKE SHUSTER, BYLINE: Iranians are panicking. Yesterday and today, there were large crowds at some currency trading offices in Tehran. Some had shuttered their doors. Traders had run out of dollars, which just caused more panic among ordinary Iranians, says Hossein Askari, an expert on the Iranian economy at George Washington University.
HOSSEIN ASKARI: Cab drivers in Tehran are turning in their rials for dollars because they say to themselves it's better that we do it now than wait till tomorrow. And if that mentality takes hold, it's over.
SHUSTER: That just adds to the pressure that weakens the rial even more, says Djavad Salehi-Isfahani, a professor of economics at Virginia Tech.
DJAVAD SALEHI-ISFAHANI: When a situation like this happens, people who need dollars now will have to buy at a very high rate because others are basically hoarding their dollars.
SHUSTER: The more people who behave like this - and it's a natural impulse - the weaker the rial becomes and the more panicked the people become. The causes of the currency panic seem obvious. As a result of Iran's controversial nuclear activities, it is confronting some of the most damaging economic and banking sanctions ever imposed on a nation, along with a global cutback in purchases of Iranian oil. At the State Department yesterday, spokeswoman Victoria Nuland pointed to the currency collapse as clear evidence the sanctions against Iran are working.
VICTORIA NULAND: From our perspective, this speaks to the unrelenting and increasingly successful international pressure that we are all bringing to bear on the Iranian economy. It's under incredible strain.
SHUSTER: The Iranian rial has been on a downward path for a year now, and in part, the current panic may be of the government's own making. Initially, back in December, the government sought to shut down the free currency trading, but that proved useless. So the government set up several tiers of foreign exchange centers and allotted dollars to each exchange center based on the importance of the products that had to be purchased in dollars.
No one knows exactly how many billions of dollars the government has for these foreign exchange operations, but it appears that over the past two days, the government provided liquidity to the intermediate market that is meant to finance the import of heavy machinery and withheld dollars from currency traders who make dollars available to ordinary Iranians, says Salehi-Isfahani.
SALEHI-ISFAHANI: The amount of money supplied to that exchange, to that particular market, kind of dried up when the government shifted its dollars from that market to the intermediate market, to the exchange centers.
SHUSTER: That caused the panic and the drop in the value of the rial to record lows. In a televised news conference, Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad blamed the collapse on speculators and enemies of Iran. But some prominent government leaders, including the speaker of Iran's parliament, blame the president's own policies and economic decisions. There's no sign that the pressure of sanctions is going to let up anytime soon, says Hossein Askari.
ASKARI: This thing is not a one-day thing, is not a one-month thing. It's going to get worse and worse and worse. And so I think the government has to do something, and all its choices are bad.
SHUSTER: Ahmadinejad has ordered the security services to get involved. That is likely to drive some currency trading underground, but it is unlikely to stop it. Mike Shuster, NPR News.
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