ALEX CHADWICK, host:
Back now with DAY TO DAY. We've got the tickets, and Madeleine, I just got an e-mail, my tux is ready. We are going to the Oscars on Sunday.
MADELEINE BRAND, host:
Congratulations. Actually going there, inside the Kodak Theater, the red carpet, the stars, the yummy hors d'ourves.
CHADWICK: So in a moment we're going to talk to Oscars' biggest loser, who turns out to be a very happy man anyway. First, though, Mark Jordan Legan is here with a Academy Awards edition of Slate's Summary Judgment.
MARK JORDAN LEGAN: This time of year, the TV, the magazines, this passing fad called the Internet, they're full of so-called experts predicting who they think is going to win. Well, here at DAY TO DAY we want to know what the average moviegoer, someone who shells out their hard-earned money, we wanted to know who they thought would be taking home the big prizes Sunday night. So I went down to a few multiplexes to find out.
Unidentified Man #1: I would like "Michael Clayton" to win.
Unidentified Man #2: I'd like to see "Juno" win.
Unidentified Man #3: "There Will Be Blood".
Unidentified Man #4: "Juno," they were probably two different movies, but "Juno" was pretty powerful.
Unidentified Man #5: Yeah. You could combine them and "There Will Be Juno."
Unidentified Man #6: Could be that tool
Unidentified Man #7: Daniel Day-Lewis discovering...
Unidentified Man #8: Maybe a little bit of both.
Unidentified Man #7: ...pregnant teenagers in Oklahoma at the turn of the century. You got something.
Unidentified Man #9: Exactly.
(Soundbite of movie, "There Will Be Blood")
Mr. DANIEL-DAY LEWIS (Actor): (As Daniel Plainview) Ladies and gentleman, if I say I'm an oil man, you will agree. I'm a family man. I run a family business.
(Soundbite of movie, "Juno")
Ms. ELLEN PAGE (Actor): (As Juno McGuff) I mean I'm already pregnant, so what other kinds of shenanigans can I get into?
Unidentified Woman #1: I think perhaps "Atonement" will win.
Unidentified Man #10: We just saw "No Country". "No Country for Old Men" will probably win.
Unidentified Man #11: "No Country for Old Men".
Unidentified Woman #2: "No Country for Old Men."
Unidentified Woman #3: I'm going to say "No Country."
(Soundbite of movie, "No Country for Old Men")
Mr. JAVIER BARDEM (Actor): (As Anton Chigurh) What's the most you ever lost on a coin toss? Call it.
LEGAN: Can I ask you your opinion about what you think is going to win for best picture?
Unidentified Man #12: Oh, I'm really bad. I'm really, really very bad. I'm not really a cinephile.
LEGAN: Yea, and as you can tell from the sound of his voice, that's astronaut film critic. Yes, NASA sent a film critic up to space to discuss movies. No, actually this is the guy selling tickets in the booth.
Unidentified Man #12: It seems pretty intensely focused. And there's a lot of buzz, I mean real, genuine buzz.
LEGAN: So you actually think "No Country" will win?
Unidentified Man #12: I think "No Country" - yeah, it's very, very bleak, but it's not bad. I mean it's just - it's really good at representing this kind of bleakness. I kind of call it the Terminator film by Antonioni.
LEGAN: And now for best actor.
LEGAN: It's Daniel Day-Lewis, George Clooney for "Michael Clayton," Johnny Depp for "Sweeney Todd," Tommy Lee Jones in "The Valley of Elah," and Viggo Mortensen for "Eastern Promises."
Who do you think is going to get the Oscar for best actor?
Unidentified Man #12: Daniel Day-Lewis.
Unidentified Man #13: Daniel Day-Lewis.
Unidentified Woman #4: Probably Daniel Day-Lewis.
Unidentified Man #15: Probably Daniel Day-Lewis.
Unidentified Woman #5: I think Johnny Depp.
Unidentified Woman #6: I like Johnny Depp.
Unidentified Man #16: I think Daniel Day-Lewis has it locked up.
Unidentified Man #17: He seems to be the front-runner, doesn't he?
Unidentified Man #16: Yeah. He really does.
LEGAN: And for best actress, who do you think they're going to give it to?
Unidentified Man #18: Julie Christie.
Unidentified Woman #7: I would want Laura Linney to win.
Unidentified Man #19: Loved Ellen Page.
Unidentified Woman #8: But we liked her better in "Hard Candy." And "Juno is just kind of - ehh...
Unidentified Man #19: And then Cate Blanchett for the sequel to "Elizabeth," that French actress Marion Cotillard for the Edith Piaf movie.
Unidentified Man #20: That was a great, great performance.
Unidentified Woman #9: I think the woman who played Piaf will win.
Unidentified Man #21: Julie Christie is up for "Away From Her."
Unidentified Woman #10: That French woman will win because nobody knows who she is.
Unidentified Woman #11: I'm going to pick the French one.
LEGAN: And back to our friend in the ticket booth.
Unidentified Man #7: I think Page is looking, I don't know, she's another one who's drawing a lot of attention. So - but I'm so difficult, artistically. I loved Laura Linney personally. She drives me mad.
LEGAN: This proves that if you keep someone in a small enclosed space for hours on end and then ask them a question, well, let's just say he had a lot to share. Actually, he was great. And we enjoyed talking to everyone.
So it seems from our very informal poll, the moviegoers think "No Country for Old Men" will win best picture, Daniel Day-Lewis best actor, and in a surprise turn, Marion Cotillard as best actress or, as they like to call her, the French one. So good luck to all the nominees. We'll see who wins on Sunday night. And oh, a quick side note. The longest Oscar telecast ever was four hours and 23 minutes. Fingers crossed, here's hoping we don't even get close to that.
BRAND: Mark Jordan Legan is a writer who will spend his four hours Sunday night on his couch in Los Angeles. Not that I'm gloating or anything.
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