STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
Let's follow up on a statement made a lot about a Republican health care plan. In its current form, the bill is likely to cost many people who voted for President Trump. Older people with lower incomes, for example, would pay more for health insurance. People are closely watching the legislation. In Texas, a state that voted for President Trump, one big change would come in funding insurance for low-income people, seniors, people with disabilities, who get help from Medicaid. Texans across the political spectrum say their state would not do well under this legislation. Here's Ashley Lopez of our member station KUT in Austin.
ASHLEY LOPEZ, BYLINE: As the GOP repeal bill works its way through Congress, Anne Dunkelberg with the left-leaning Center for Public Policy Priorities says she's a little stumped.
ANNE DUNKELBERG: I've worked on Medicaid and uninsured and health care access issues in Texas for well over 20 years.
LOPEZ: She says there's a pot of money she's particularly concerned about. Texas has struck deals with the feds to help reimburse hospitals for the cost of caring for people who don't have insurance, mostly because Texas didn't expand Medicaid. Texas has more uninsured residents than any other state. And Dunkelberg says the GOP plan isn't clear about what happens to this pot of money.
DUNKELBERG: About half of what Texas hospitals get from Texas Medicaid today comes through payments that are outside of the regular Medicaid program.
LOPEZ: That adds up to $4 billion in federal funds every year. But even if, let's say, Texas keeps all that money in the future, there's another whammy. The GOP plan caps how much money states get for Medicaid from the feds for every person they cover. It's called a per capita cap. And the formula for this money, starting in 2020, would be based on how much the state spends this year. Adriana Kohler with Texans Care for Children, an advocacy group based in Austin, says Texas already leaves too many people without care.
ADRIANA KOHLER: Last legislative session, there were cuts to pediatric therapies for kids with disabilities enrolled in Medicaid. And we've seen that that has restricted access to services. That's why these cuts coming down from the ACA repeal bill are very concerning to us.
LOPEZ: She says in Texas, children, pregnant women, seniors and people with disabilities will bear the brunt of any belt-tightening. And some on the right agree Texas is getting a raw deal. Dr. Deane Waldman with the right-leaning Texas Public Policy Foundation says there are things he likes in the bill. But in general...
DEANE WALDMAN: Yeah, it's a bad deal for Texas. It's a bad deal for the American people.
LOPEZ: He says the per capita cap punishes Texas for not expanding Medicaid, which he thinks was the right move. Under the GOP replacement bill, expansion states will be getting more money. And because the Republican bill leaves the door open for states to expand Medicaid before 2020, he thinks more states will do that.
WALDMAN: It's going to be a huge rush, an inducement to drag in as many people as they can drag in 'cause the more they can drag in, the more federal dollars they will get.
LOPEZ: Waldman says he thinks that will make Medicaid spending skyrocket. But if Texas still refuses to expand, it will have to share a pot of $10 billion over five years with other non-expansion states. And that would be a drop in the bucket for a state as big as Texas. For NPR News, I'm Ashley Lopez in Austin.
INSKEEP: That story's part of a reporting partnership with NPR News, KUT and Kaiser Health News.