Great Salt lake drying due to climate change, scientists worry Half of the Great Salt Lake in Utah has now dried up but scientists say there's still some time left to reverse its decline.

What biologists see from the shores of the drying Great Salt Lake

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Trip now out to Utah's Great Salt Lake, where water levels are up 3 feet after a couple of especially wet winters. That's actually good news because the lake has been drying up fast. It is now about half of its historical size. NPR's Kirk Siegler recently took a trip to a private wildlife sanctuary there, with scientists who've been warning about a looming ecological disaster.

KIRK SIEGLER, BYLINE: Just west of Salt Lake City and its newly built international airport, we drive through a series of locked gates, heading for the Audubon's Gillmor Sanctuary.


SIEGLER: It's like entering into another world - or maybe otherworldly - landscape, the vast wetlands along the Great Salt Lake, 50 miles long and 30 wide.

CARLY BIEDUL: Yeah, it's quite an adventure to get out here.

SIEGLER: It's always had this mysterious vibe. It's shallow. It's boggy. It stinks. But zero in right here, and you realize how alive it can be, how hugely important of a stopover it is for migratory birds.


SIEGLER: Sadly, sounds like these, archived by the University of Utah back in 2011, are becoming more and more rare out here. As the lake and its wetlands dry, the brine shrimp the birds feed on are dying. Heidi Hoven, a wetlands ecologist who helps manage the sanctuary, is leading our expedition.

HEIDI HOVEN: There's less and less places for these birds that do queue in to these saline habitats. There's fewer places for them to go.

SIEGLER: Hoven and her team are tracking a sharp decline, particularly in burrowing owls and snowy plovers, white-breasted with their tiny black beaks.


SIEGLER: There are plenty of culprits behind the lake drying up. Farmers are diverting a lot of water upstream from here that used to flow into it. Utah's population is also booming, and that development is running right up to us.

HOVEN: You can actually see it over your shoulder. We have - it's this advancement of large distribution warehouses that are within a mile from the sanctuary now, when it used to be just open land.

SIEGLER: Back in her pickup, Hoven steers expertly through a series of huge, muddy puddles that look like they could swallow us.


HOVEN: So there's a little bit of road base left under all that.

SIEGLER: For the scientists, the mud is an encouraging sign. Utah is coming off two snowy winters.

HOVEN: So we can park here. This is a good get-out place.

SIEGLER: We stopped for a beat to take it all in, just shy of the lake bed. Bonnie Baxter, who runs the Great Salt Lake Institute at nearby Westminster University, chimes in.

BONNIE BAXTER: You know, I think we've bought ourselves a couple of years, and that's great. But you look at this dry lake bed in front of you, and you can see, even after all of that snow from last year and a decent year this year, we're still struggling.

SIEGLER: A short, bumpy ride later, we reached the actual shore, if you could call it that. The setting sun is casting an eerie orange glow over the distant mountains surrounding us on all sides. We feel tiny.


SIEGLER: The dried lake bed stretches out for miles. It's beautiful, but it's eerie, even for the trained eye of wildlife biologist Carly Biedul.

BIEDUL: Otherworldly is a great word. It is - well, it's crazy. We're at Great Salt Lake right now, but there's no water.


BIEDUL: Like, I feel like the other places - at least where I go and sample - there's water there. At least you can see it. But here we're still at the lake, and it's dry.

SIEGLER: Heidi Hoven says she's never not shocked looking out across the dry sand and dust.

HOVEN: It never ends to really strike people with awe in a way that - something that you never thought you could see, this dryness.

SIEGLER: But all this alarm, they say, is maybe good. It's pressuring the state into action. Utah's governor, Spencer Cox, is pledging the lake won't dry up on his watch. The state has put a billion dollars so far toward conservation, mainly for farmers.

SPENCER COX: For generations, the lake was seen as just kind of this dead thing that just happens to be there and will always be there. And now that people are realizing there's a potential that it might not always be here, that's gotten people's attention in a positive way.

SIEGLER: Everything from lake effect snow for the ski industry to mining to air quality depends on the lake's survival.

BIEDUL: Is that coyote scat?

SIEGLER: But Cox has also called predictions by local scientists that the lake could dry up in five years alarmist. Bonnie Baxter from the institute helped write that 2022 study.

BAXTER: You know, scientists aren't really known for being dramatic (laughter).

SIEGLER: What will be more dramatic, these scientists say, is if we let the lake dry up. Heidi Hoven sees the shorebirds as one of the indicator species.

HOVEN: And we have probably so much more to understand about what their needs are. And in these changing times, it's really highlighting the need to understand these things quickly.

SIEGLER: Because no one in the West is counting on another good snow year next year.

Kirk Siegler, NPR News, Salt Lake City.

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