Was Homebuyer's Tax Credits Worth It? By the time homebuyer tax credits expire at midnight Friday, the government will have given up more than $35 billion. The tax credits were part of the stimulus package, and Congress extended the incentives as the recession wore on. Some economists say most of the subsidized home sales would have happened anyway, but others say the cost was worth it to help stabilize the housing market.

Was Homebuyer's Tax Credits Worth It?

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From member station WBUR in Boston, Curt Nickisch reports.

CURT NICKISCH: Let's just say Bryan Ashley is rejoicing.


NICKISCH: That's church organist Bryan Ashley practicing late at night at Boston's First Church of Christ, Scientist. He spent business hours lining up a home loan.

BRYAN ASHLEY: So between house-hunting and practicing, that's pretty much been my life for the last few months.

NICKISCH: Bryan says as far as their decision went, the tax incentive just gave them a deadline.

ASHLEY: We would've been buying, anyway.

NICKISCH: With the eight grand, Bryan and his wife might buy new furniture or do nothing at all.

ASHLEY: Yeah. I didn't do the cash for clunkers, so I guess it'll go for the house.


JOHN MAXFIELD: I've been working 16-hour days.

NICKISCH: John Maxfield is a Boston realtor. He says the April 30 deadline has made life hectic.

MAXFIELD: I was here until very, very late last night, once again. It has, in fact, created quite a flurry.

NICKISCH: Maxfield says every market's different, so the tax credit might be stoking more new sales in harder hit areas. But here in Boston, he says, the housing market was already recovering.

MAXFIELD: So we've had this pent-up demand, low interest rates. The sellers became more realistic, prices dropped. So we were doing fairly well and didn't really need the incentive, but the incentive certainly helped our market out.

NICKISCH: How much it's helping the economy out is another question. Chip Case is an economist whose Case-Shiller Index tracks national housing prices.

CHIP CASE: The thing about the credit is you don't get a lot of bang for the buck.

NICKISCH: He says the tax credit has been very inefficient, especially since it was extended last year to existing homeowners, too. Case says it mostly just sped up sales. He's not sure the housing market will really recover until more people get jobs.

CASE: I don't think the tax credit's going to do a lot one way or the other. I mean, we're either going to have a good spring market or we're going to have problems, and the two months we're going to tell a tale. I think we're going to be flat to up. But I say that with absolutely no conviction.

LAWRENCE YUN: This is a great success for the U.S. economy.

NICKISCH: Lawrence Yun has stronger convictions. After all, he's the economist for the National Association of Realtors. He says it may cost $35 billion to create just one million truly new home sales, but the tax credit is priceless for bolstering confidence in a turnaround.

YUN: So from broader point of view, stabilizing the middle class wealth, stabilizing the financial sector is well worth the tax credit that was expended.


NICKISCH: One of the people who got the credit is Raymond Quenneville of Merrimack, New Hampshire. He's raking the front lawn of the house he bought last year. The money came in handy.

RAYMOND QUENNEVILLE: One of the things the inspector missed was the roof was in worse shape than we thought. And so the tax credit went straight to - you know, just as President Obama would've liked it, went straight into the market and we bought a new roof over the fall.

NICKISCH: For NPR News, I'm Curt Nickisch, in Boston.

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